Of Oil and USD

The US dominated the global stage with 3 things – military, currency and media. Of currency, the petrodollar system is the foundation. Oil is to be traded in USD. Countries who require oil to power up their industries have no choice but to get USD to buy oil. It is on this basis that the US can sit comfortably at the top of the pyramid, printing money and freely adjusting interest rates, reaping off the labour and resources of other countries to maintain their hegemony.

And hence, the petrodollar system is the red line which cannot be crossed. The consequences of crossing that red line is severe.

join us in oil

History and Background

In 2000, Iraq decided to sell its oil in Euro. In 2003, the US invaded Iraq and Saddam Hussein was subsequently executed. In 2011, Libya wanted to push for a unified African currency backed by gold, and gold will be used as payment for oil and gas. NATO bombed Libya the same year.

South America has been known to be the backyard of the US. Sovereign in name, but actually controlled by the US. Venezuela, having the richest oil reserves in the world, decided to be friendly with China despite US sanctions, and its oil sale to China was traded in the Chinese RMB. We know that on 3 January 2026, US moved into Venezuela, captured its President and took control of its oil.

Iran, having been sanctioned by the US, has also been dealing its oil with China in RMB. We know that Iran now is facing its largest civil unrest in decades demanding an end to its current regime, also due to US interference.

Maintenance of US Hegemony

One will not fear a country who has no ability to execute violence, nor a country who has the ability but not the willingness to do so. But a country who has the ability and willingness to execute violence is to be feared. There has been talks about countries being sick of the US unreasonable, constant reaping of other countries and its own allies. They are sick of being manipulated to provide free labour and resources to the US and still get stomped upon by the US.

Hence, more and more countries start to deviate towards China, the current number 2 who is viewed as the one which will threaten the US hegemony on the world. There has even been talks that China will lead the new world order.

In Chinese there is a saying: If the tiger does not show its prowess, you would think I am a sick cat. Hence the US military moved in, not to conquer the land, but a quick military operation to capture the president. It played cheat a bit, in that it did not sink itself into the pits with a full scale invasion but a quick hit and run and declared victory. That being said, the ability to pull that off is not a joke.

Objectives

I always said that high level political decisions seldom fulfil only one objective. Let us see a few objectives that are met.

  1. US has proven it still has the ability and willingness to execute violence.
  2. US is sending a message across the world not to step on its red line.
  3. US is telling the world that South America is still within its control and it has considerable influence in the Middle East.
  4. If the US can kidnap the leader of a country that easily, which other leaders can they assassinate?

China

It is human nature that he who occupies the number 1 position will stop the number 2 from catching up at all cost. It does not apply to the US, but past and future countries who occupy the very top of the pyramid. One very good example is that countries who obtained nuclear weapons joined the party in clamping down on those countries who are trying but not yet achieved that technology.

We know now with the military operation in Venezuela, lesser countries will use RMB as a trade currency, and those who are thinking of doing so will probably sit back for a while.

In the currently fast crumbling world order, countries are also categorised into tiers. Those at the bottom sell off their resources. Those in the middle manufacture goods for the world. And those at the top dictate how the world operates – US controls the financial and technological sector of the world, UK (IGCSE) and Europe (IB) dictates how education should be, Europe as a whole sets the standard for high end manufacturing and branded goods.

South America is a continent known for its vast resource of minerals. So if the US, sitting at the top, re-exerts its dwindling control on South America again, this time with more force, it controls the top and bottom of the pyramid. It does not take a genius to infer what sort of pressure the middle will face.

How it will all turn out, I do not know. Afterall, the Chinese is a tenacious bunch of people, and China has a lot of smart people. But it certainly is not going to be fighting on easy mode.

Conclusion

I think it is evident that certain countries now will be fighting to control as many resources as they can. Previously, I had bought stocks on companies necessary for China’s survival – water, electricity, rubber, sugar, oil, pork (food) and chemical companies (for production of goods). Most of them are doing well now. As for what opportunities this latest development will bring, I will have to observe further.


็พŽๅœ‹็จฑ้œธๅ…จ็ƒ้ ่‘—3ๆจฃๆฑ่ฅฟ – ่ปไบ‹๏ผŒ่ฒจๅนฃ๏ผŒๅช’้ซ”ใ€‚ๅœจ่ฒจๅนฃ้ ˜ๅŸŸ๏ผŒ็Ÿณๆฒน็พŽๅ…ƒไพฟๆ˜ฏๆ นๅŸบใ€‚ๆฒนๅช่ƒฝ็”จ็พŽๅ…ƒไบคๆ˜“ใ€‚้œ€่ฆๆฒนไพ†้ฉ…ๅ‹•ๅทฅๆฅญ็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถๅˆฅ็„ก้ธๆ“‡๏ผŒๅช่ƒฝ็ฒๅ–็พŽๅ…ƒ่ฒท็Ÿณๆฒนใ€‚ไปฅ้€™ไฝๅŸบ็คŽ๏ผŒ็พŽๅœ‹่ƒฝ่ˆ’่ˆ’ๆœๆœๅœฐๅๅœจ้‡‘ๅญ—ๅก”็š„้ ‚็ซฏ๏ผŒ้šจๆ„ๅฐ้Œข่ชฟๆ•ดๅˆฉ็އ๏ผŒๆ”ถๅ‰ฒไป–ๅœ‹็š„ๅ‹žๅŠ›ๅ’Œ่ณ‡ๆบ๏ผŒๅพž่€Œ็ถญๆŒ่‡ชๅทฑ็š„้œธๆฌŠใ€‚

ๆ‰€ไปฅ็Ÿณๆฒน็พŽๅ…ƒๆ˜ฏไธ€ๆขไธๅฏ้€พ่ถŠ็š„็ด…็ทšใ€‚่ธฉ็ด…็ทš็š„ๅพŒๆžœ้žๅธธๅšด้‡ใ€‚

ๆญทๅฒๅ’Œ่ƒŒๆ™ฏ

2000ๅนด๏ผŒไผŠๆ‹‰ๅ…‹ๆฑบๅฎšไปฅๆญๅ…ƒๅ‡บๅ”ฎ็Ÿณๆฒนใ€‚2003ๅนด๏ผŒ็พŽๅœ‹ๅ…ฅไพตไผŠๆ‹‰ๅ…‹๏ผŒ้šจๅพŒ่™•ๆฑบ่–ฉ้”ๅง†ใ€‚2011ๅนด๏ผŒๅˆฉๆฏ”ไบž่ฉฆๅœ–ๆŽจๅ‡บไปฅ้ปƒ้‡‘ๆ”ฏๆŒ็š„้žๆดฒ็ตฑไธ€่ฒจๅนฃ๏ผŒ็”จ้ปƒ้‡‘็ต็ฎ—็Ÿณๆฒนๅ’Œๅคฉ็„ถๆฐฃใ€‚ๅŒๅนด๏ผŒๅŒ—็ด„็‚ธไบ†ๅˆฉๆฏ”ไบžใ€‚

ๅ—็พŽๆดฒไธ€็›ดไปฅไพ†้ƒฝๆ˜ฏ็พŽๅœ‹็š„ๅพŒ่Šฑๅœ’ใ€‚ๅ็พฉไธŠ็จ็ซ‹่‡ชไธป๏ผŒๅฏฆ้š›ไธŠๆ˜ฏ็พŽๅœ‹็š„ๅ‚€ๅ„กใ€‚ๅง”ๅ…ง็‘žๆ‹‰ๆ“ๆœ‰ๅ…จ็ƒๆœ€ๅคง็š„็Ÿณๆฒนๅ„ฒๅ‚™๏ผŒ่ขซๅˆถ่ฃๅพŒๅ’Œไธญๅœ‹ๅ‹ๅฅฝ๏ผŒๅ‡บๅ”ฎ็š„็Ÿณๆฒน้‚„ๆ˜ฏไปฅไบบๆฐ‘ๅนฃ็ต็ฎ—ใ€‚็พๅœจๆˆ‘ๅ€‘็Ÿฅ้“๏ผŒ2026ๅนด1ๆœˆ3ๆ—ฅ๏ผŒ็พŽๅœ‹ๅ…ฅไพตๅง”ๅ…ง็‘žๆ‹‰๏ผŒ็ถไบ†็ธฝ้ซ”๏ผŒๆŽงๅˆถไบ†็Ÿณๆฒนใ€‚

ไผŠๆœ—ๅŒๆจฃ่ขซๅˆถ่ฃ๏ผŒๅŒๆจฃไปฅไบบๆฐ‘ๅนฃๅ‡บๅ”ฎ็Ÿณๆฒน็ตฆไธญๅœ‹ใ€‚็พๅœจไผŠๆœ—้ข่‡จ่‘—้€™ๅนพๅๅนดไพ†ๆœ€ๅคง็š„ๅ…งไบ‚๏ผŒ่ฆๆฑ‚็ตๆŸ็พๅœจ็š„ๆ”ฟๆฌŠใ€‚้€™ไนŸๆ˜ฏๆœ‰่‘—็พŽๅœ‹ๅนฒ้ ็š„้—œ่ฏใ€‚

็ถญๆŒ้œธๆฌŠ

ไบบๅ€‘ไธๆœƒๆ‡ผๆ€•ไธ€ๅ€‹ๆฒ’่ƒฝๅŠ›ๅฏฆๆ–ฝๆšดๅŠ›็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถ๏ผŒไนŸไธๆœƒๅฎณๆ€•ไธ€ๅ€‹ๆœ‰่ƒฝๅŠ›ไฝ†ไธ้ก˜ๆ„้‚ฃ้บผๅš็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถใ€‚ไฝ†ไธ€ๅ€‹ๆœ‰่ƒฝๅŠ›ไนŸ้žๅธธ้ก˜ๆ„ๅฏฆๆ–ฝๆšดๅŠ›็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถๆ˜ฏไธๅŒ็š„ใ€‚ๅ‰ๆฎตๆ™‚้–“ๆœ‰ๅพˆๅคš่จ€่ซ–๏ผŒ่ชชๅ„ๅ€‹ๅœ‹ๅฎถๅ—ๅค ไบ†็พŽๅœ‹็š„ไธ่ฌ›็†๏ผŒๅๅพฉๅœฐๆ”ถๅ‰ฒไป–ๅœ‹ (ๅŒ…ๆ‹ฌ่‡ชๅทฑ็š„็›Ÿๅ‹)ใ€‚ๅ—ๅค ไบ†่ขซๆ“ๆŽง็‚บ็พŽๅœ‹ๆไพ›ๅ…่ฒปๅ‹žๅŠ›ๅ’Œ่ณ‡ๆบ๏ผŒๆœ€ๅพŒ้‚„่ขซไธ็•™ๆƒ…้ขๅœฐ่ธฉๅœจ่…ณไธ‹ใ€‚

ๆœ€ๅพŒ่ถŠไพ†่ถŠๅคšๅœ‹ๅฎถ้–‹ๅง‹ๅ‚พๅ‘ไธญๅœ‹๏ผŒ็›ฎๅ‰็š„่€ไบŒ๏ผŒๅจ่„…่‘—็พŽๅœ‹้œธๆฌŠ็š„ๅญ˜ๅœจใ€‚็”š่‡ณๆœ‰ไบบๆœƒ่ชชไธญๅœ‹ๆœƒๅธถ้ ˜ๆ–ฐไธ–็•Œ็š„็š„็งฉๅบใ€‚

่€่™Žไธ็™ผๅจ๏ผŒไฝ ๆŠŠๆˆ‘็•ถ็—…่ฒ“ใ€‚็„ถๅพŒ็พŽๅœ‹ๅ…ฅไพตไบ†๏ผŒไธ็‚บไฝ”้ ˜ๅœŸๅœฐ๏ผŒ่€Œๆ˜ฏไธ€ๅ€‹ๆŠ“ๆ•็ธฝ็ตฑ็š„่ฟ…้€Ÿ่ปไบ‹่กŒๅ‹•ใ€‚้›–ๆœ‰้ปžๅ–ๅทง๏ผŒไธ้™ทๅ…ฅๅ…จ้ขๅ…ฅไพต็š„ๅ‘๏ผŒ่€Œๆ˜ฏๆ‰“ไบ†ๅฐฑ่ท‘๏ผŒ็„ถๅพŒๅฎฃไฝˆ่‡ชๅทฑๅ‹ๅˆฉใ€‚็•ถ็„ถ๏ผŒ่ƒฝๅšๅˆฐๆญค่ˆ‰ไนŸ่ญ‰ๆ˜Žไบ†่‡ชๅทฑ็š„ๅฏฆๅŠ›ใ€‚

็›ฎ็š„

ๆˆ‘ๅธธ่ชช้ซ˜ๅฑค็š„ๆ”ฟๆฒปๆฑบ็ญ–ไธๅชๆœ‰ไธ€ๅ€‹็›ฎ็š„ใ€‚ๅ…ˆ็œ‹็œ‹ๆญค่กŒๅ‹•้”ๅˆฐไบ†ๅนพๅ€‹็›ฎ็š„ใ€‚

  1. ็พŽๅœ‹ๅทฒ่ญ‰ๆ˜ŽๅฎƒไปๆŒๆœ‰ๅฏฆๆ–ฝๆšดๅŠ›็š„่ƒฝๅŠ›๏ผŒไนŸไป้ก˜ๆ„้‚ฃ้บผๅšใ€‚
  2. ็พŽๅœ‹่ฎ“ๅ…จ็ƒ็Ÿฅ้“๏ผŒไธ่ฆ่ธฉๅฎƒ็š„็ด…็ทšใ€‚
  3. ็พŽๅœ‹ๅ‘Š่จดๅ…จ็ƒ๏ผŒๅ—็พŽๆดฒ้‚„ๆ˜ฏๅœจๅฎƒ็š„ๆŽงๅˆถไธ‹๏ผŒ่€Œไธญๆฑ้‚ฃไธ€ๅกŠ้‚„ๆ˜ฏๆœ‰้žๅธธๅคง็š„ๅฝฑ้ŸฟๅŠ›็š„ใ€‚
  4. ๅฆ‚ๆžœ็พŽๅœ‹่ƒฝ่ผ•ๆ˜“ๅœฐ็ถๆžถไธ€ๅ€‹ๅœ‹ๅฎถ้ ˜ๅฐŽ๏ผŒ้‚ฃไป–ๅ€‘ๆœ‰่ƒฝๅŠ›ๅˆบๆฎบ่ชฐๅ‘ข๏ผŸ

ไธญๅœ‹

็•ถ่€ๅคง็š„ไธ€ๅฎšๆœƒ็ซญ็›กๆ‰€่ƒฝ้˜ปๆญข่€ไบŒ่ฟฝไธŠใ€‚้€™ๆ˜ฏไบบๆ€ง๏ผŒไธ็ฎกๅ“ชๅ€‹ๅœ‹ๅฎถๅœจไฝ้ƒฝไธ€ๆจฃใ€‚ไธ€ๅ€‹ๅพˆๅฅฝ็š„ไพ‹ๅญๅฐฑๆ˜ฏ๏ผŒๆ‹ฟๅˆฐๆ ธๆญฆๅ™จ็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถ้ƒฝไธ€่ตทๆ‰“ๅฃ“้‚ฃไบ›ๆƒณ่ฆๅพ—ๅˆฐๆ ธๆญฆๅ™จ็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถใ€‚

ๆญคๆ™‚ๆˆ‘ๅ€‘ๅทฒ็ถ“็Ÿฅ้“๏ผŒๅง”ๅ…ง็‘žๆ‹‰่ปไบ‹่กŒๅ‹•ๅพŒ๏ผŒ็”จไบบๆฐ‘ๅนฃ็ต็ฎ—ไบคๆ˜“็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถๆœƒๆ›ดๅฐ‘ไบ†๏ผŒๆƒณ้‚ฃ้บผๅš็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถไนŸๅคงๆฆ‚ๆœƒๅพŒ้€€ไธ€ๆญฅใ€‚

ๅœจ้€™ๅฟซ่ฆๅดฉๅกŒ็š„ไธ–็•Œ้ซ”็ณป่ฃก๏ผŒๅœ‹ๅฎถไนŸ่ขซๅˆ†็‚บไธ‰ๅ…ญไน็ญ‰ใ€‚ๆœ€ๅบ•ๅฑค็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถ่ณฃ่ณ‡ๆบ๏ผŒไธญๅฑค็š„่ฃฝ้€ ็‰ฉๅ“๏ผŒ่€Œๅœจ้ ‚็ซฏ็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถๆฑบๅฎšไธ–็•Œ้‹่ฝ‰็š„ๆจกๅผใ€‚็พŽๅœ‹ๆŽงๅˆถไบ†็ถ“่žๅ’Œ็ง‘ๆŠ€๏ผŒ่‹ฑๅœ‹(IGCSE)ๅ’Œๆญๆดฒ(IB)ๆŽงๅˆถไบ†ๆ•™่‚ฒ๏ผŒ่€Œๆญๆดฒๆ•ด้ซ”็‚บ้ซ˜็ซฏ่ฃฝ้€ ๅ’Œๅฅขไพˆๅ“็‰Œ่จญๅฎšไบ†ๆจ™ๆบ–ใ€‚

ๅ—็พŽๆดฒๆ˜ฏไธ€ๅ€‹ๅฏŒๆœ‰ๅ„็จฎ็คฆ็”ข็š„ๅคง้™ธใ€‚้‚ฃ้บผๅๅœจ้ ‚็ซฏ็š„็พŽๅœ‹๏ผŒ้‡ๆ–ฐไปฅๆ›ดๅคง็š„ๅŠ›ๅบฆๆŽงๅˆถๅ—็พŽๆดฒ็š„่ฉฑ๏ผŒๅฐฑ็ญ‰ๆ–ผๆŽงๅˆถไบ†้‡‘ๅญ—ๅก”็š„ๅบ•ๅฑคๅ’Œ้ ‚็ซฏใ€‚็”จ่†่“‹ๆƒณ๏ผŒๅฐฑ็Ÿฅ้“ไธญๅฑคๆœƒ้ข่‡จๅคšๅคง็š„ๅฃ“ๅŠ›ไบ†ใ€‚

ๆœ€ๅพŒ็ตๆžœๆ€Ž้บผๆจฃ๏ผŒๆˆ‘ไธ็Ÿฅ้“ใ€‚ไฝ†ไธญๅœ‹ๆ˜ฏไธ€ๅ€‹ๅพˆๆœ‰้ŸŒๆ€ง็š„ๅœ‹ๅฎถ๏ผŒไธญๅœ‹ไบบไนŸ้ƒฝๅพˆ่ฐๆ˜Žใ€‚่ƒฝ่‚ฏๅฎš็š„ๆ˜ฏ๏ผŒ้€™ๅ ดๅšๅผˆ็ต•ไธๆ˜ฏ่ผ•้ฌ†้€š้—œ็š„ๆจกๅผใ€‚

็ธฝ็ต

็พๅœจๅทฒ็ถ“ๅพˆๆ˜Ž้กฏๆœ‰ไบ›ๅœ‹ๅฎถไธ€ๅฎšๆœƒ็‚บ่‡ชๅทฑ็ˆญๅ–ๆ›ดๅคš่ณ‡ๆบใ€‚ๅ‰ไบ›ๆ—ฅๅญๆˆ‘่ฒทไบ†ไธญๅœ‹้œ€่ฆ็”Ÿๅญ˜็š„่ณ‡ๆบ – ๆฐด๏ผŒ้›ป๏ผŒๆฉก่† ๏ผŒ็ณ–๏ผŒๆฒน๏ผŒ่ฑฌ่‚‰(้ฃŸ็‰ฉ)๏ผŒๅŒ–ๅทฅ(็”Ÿ็”ข)ใ€‚ๅคง้ƒจๅˆ†่กจ็พๅพ—ไธ้Œฏใ€‚่‡ณๆ–ผ่ฟ‘ๆœŸ็š„ๅฑ€ๅ‹ขๆœƒๅธถไพ†ไป€้บผๆฉŸๆœƒ๏ผŒ้‚„ๆœ‰ๅพ…่ง€ๅฏŸใ€‚

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